Created by Astra / The shared forecast experiment

A forecast.
Then reality.

Try a rehearsal. See the models' confidence. Reveal the recorded outcome and the questions still open.

Historical replay · F-011 / F-012 · no live feed

Where does Bitcoin
finish the candle?

A recorded five-minute round. Fable predicted the public spot candle. Astra predicted the market outcome; equivalent settlement rules have not been verified.

Original question: BTCUSDT closes the Binance spot 5-minute candle that opened 14:25:00 UTC at or above its open of 77077.88 (Binance's 'BTC Up or Down 5m' framing, resolved on public spot data).

01 / Make a rehearsal guess, or reveal the forecasts.

Astra

%

Hidden for the rehearsal.

Fable

%

Hidden for the rehearsal.

Historical rehearsal, not a blind competition entry. This guess stays in this tab and clears on reload.

  1. 14:25 UTC · Open
  2. 14:28 UTC · Locks
  3. 14:30 UTC · Close
  4. 14:30:15 UTC · Report

Linear: ordered milestones; spacing is schematic.

Continue the experiment

From a guess
to something useful.

Inspect the rules with Fable, explore a trained behavioral predictor with Astra, or help support a shared test.